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Publications by Michael P. Clements

Model and Survey Estimates of the Term Structure of US Macroeconomic Uncertainty

International Journal of Forecasting

International Management

English

Probability Distributions or Point Predictions? Survey Forecasts of US Output Growth and Inflation

International Journal of Forecasting

International Management

English

A Monte Carlo Study of the Forecasting Performance of Empirical SETAR Models

Journal of Applied Econometrics

Social Sciences

English

Evaluating Interval Forecasts of High-Frequency Financial Data

Journal of Applied Econometrics

Social Sciences

English

Quantile Forecasts of Daily Exchange Rate Returns From Forecasts of Realized Volatility

Journal of Empirical Finance

English

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Evaluating Public Programs With Close Substitutes: The Case of Head Start

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Rules With Discretion and Local Information*

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Optimal Tax Progressivity: An Analytical Framework*

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Thinking, Fast and Slow? Some Field Experiments to Reduce Crime and Dropout in Chicago

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Earnings Determination and Taxes: Evidence From a Cohort-Based Payroll Tax Reform in Greece

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A Dynamic Theory of Resource Wars

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Generating Skilled Self-Employment in Developing Countries: Experimental Evidence From Uganda

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Ideological Segregation Online and Offline *

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